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THE
QUARTERLYJOURNAL
OFECONOMICS
Vol.133May2018Issue2
DISTRIBUTIONALNATIONALACCOUNTS:METHODSAND
ESTIMATESFORTHEUNITEDSTATES
T
HOMAS
P
IKETTY
E
MMANUEL
S
AEZ
G
ABRIEL
Z
UCMAN
Thisarticlecombinestax,survey,andnationalaccountsdatatoestimatethe
distributionofnationalincomeintheUnitedStatessince1913.Ourdistributional
nationalaccountscapture100%ofnationalincome,allowingustocomputegrowth
ratesforeachquantileoftheincomedistributionconsistentwithmacroeconomic
growth.Weestimatethedistributionofbothpretaxandposttaxincome,making
itpossibletoprovideacomprehensiveviewofhowgovernmentredistribution
affectsinequality.Averagepretaxrealnationalincomeperadulthasincreased
60%from1980to2014,butweÞndthatithasstagnatedforthebottom50%ofthe
distributionatabout$16,000ayear.ThepretaxincomeofthemiddleclassÑadults
betweenthemedianandthe90thpercentileÑhasgrown40%since1980,faster
thanwhattaxandsurveydatasuggest,dueinparticulartotheriseoftax-exempt
fringebeneÞts.Incomehasboomedatthetop.TheupsurgeoftopincomeswasÞrst
alaborincomephenomenonbuthasmostlybeenacapitalincomephenomenon
Wethanktheeditors,LawrenceKatzandAndreiShleifer;fouranony-
mousreferees;FacundoAlvaredo,TonyAtkinson,GeraldAuten,LucasChancel,
PatrickDriessen,OdedGalor,DavidJohnson,ArthurKennickell,NoraLustig,
Jean-LaurentRosenthal,JohnSabelhaus,DavidSplinter,andDannyYagan;and
numerousseminarandconferenceparticipantsforhelpfuldiscussionsandcom-
ments.AntoineArnoud,KavehDanesh,SamKarlin,JulianaLondo
÷
no-V
«
elez,and
CarlMcPhersonprovidedoutstandingresearchassistance.WeacknowledgeÞnan-
cialsupportfromtheCenterforEquitableGrowthatUCBerkeley,theInstitute
forNewEconomicThinking,theLauraandJohnArnoldfoundation,NSFgrants
SES-1156240andSES-1559014,theRussellSagefoundation,theSandlerfoun-
dation,andtheEuropeanResearchCouncilundertheEuropeanUnionÕsSeventh
FrameworkProgramme,ERCGrantAgreementNo.340831.
C
TheAuthor(s)2017.PublishedbyOxfordUniversityPressonbehalfofthePresi-
dentandFellowsofHarvardCollege.Allrightsreserved.ForPermissions,pleaseemail:
TheQuarterlyJournalofEconomics
(2018),553Ð609.doi:10.1093/qje/qjx043.
AdvanceAccesspublicationonOctober10,2017.
553
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